NEW: Battleground state voters view climate change as a major problem
This year, Firehouse Strategies partnered with the data analytics team at Optimus to learn more about the key voters who will elect the next president. Earlier this week we released our ballot test findings among likely general election voters in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Today, we’re showcasing results about Climate Change in these three states. (See full methodology below.)
Climate change is shaping-up to be a defining policy platform for Democratic candidates in the 2020 presidential primary. Some are embracing sweeping policy proposals like the Green New Deal, while others are taking a more moderate approach to the issue.
We wanted to know how this debate would translate into the general election in these key battleground states.
Do you think climate change is a serious problem that the Federal government should address?
- KEY POINT: Most general election voters in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania think climate change is a serious federal issue. There is, however, a large gap between Trump and Clinton voters on the subject.
A resolution known as the Green New Deal was recently introduced in Congress. Do you support the principles laid out in the Green New Deal?
- KEY POINT: Most general election voters across these states think climate change is a serious federal issue, but most do not currently think the Green New Deal is the right solution.
Methodology: Between 03/19-03/21, we surveyed likely voters in Wisconsin (N = 616), Pennsylvania (N = 632), and Michigan (N = 530) via live landline and cell, and text. Likely voters were defined as registered voters who voted in both the 2012 and 2016 general elections or the 2018 general election, plus the 15% of additional individuals most likely to turnout based on in-house turnout modeling. Margin of error varies by question and segment but is generally ± 4.1 in WI, ± 4.0 in PA, and ± 4.5 in MI for toplines. Sample was weighted by age, gender, and party based on our likely voter universe. Results were then re-balanced based on these cohorts.