Democrats & Republicans Split on Economic Outlook

May 18, 2020

Coronavirus Tracking Update

Overview

According to the latest numbers from the Firehouse Strategies and 0ptimus Analytics coronavirus tracking survey, more than half of Democrats expect the economy to get worse over the next month, while a large portion of Republicans (46%) expect the economy to improve. This comes as governors in red states have pushed to lift restrictions and reopen businesses, while the majority of blue states remain closed. Our numbers also show a continued decline in Americans saying they are somewhat or very worried about themselves or a family member contracting coronavirus. Details on these key findings and trendlines for today’s data points are presented below. Look out for updated numbers on Thursday on our website.

Key Points

  • Democrats are more inclined to view the state of the US economy poorly, with the majority (58%) of Democrats expecting the economy to get worse over the next month and only 14% expecting it to improve. A larger portion of Republicans (46%) expect the economy to improve and only 29% expect it to get worse.

 

  • In a head-to-head contest among 2020 general election likely voters, Joe Biden has slightly extended his lead against Donald Trump to 11 points (52-41), a lead that was 9 points last week.

 

  • 66% of Americans say they are somewhat or very worried about themselves or a family member contracting coronavirus, a decline from 72% who said the same last week.

 

Full Results

The full toplines, crosstabs, and methodology can be found on our GitHub page.